Closing birdie saves Mickelson

Golf Betting Lines

07/16/2010 - St. Andrews, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the wind picking up, the cut line will likely climb through Friday afternoon, and possibly into Saturday morning, at the British Open.

Phil Mickelson birdied the 18th hole Friday to post a one-under 71, which got him back to even-par for the championship.

He was lucky enough to finish his round before the wind really started blowing. Not long after Mickelson completed his round, play was suspended by high wind as golf balls were getting moved around on greens by the wind.

This is the first suspension due to high winds since the 1998 Open Championship at Royal Birkdale.

Mickelson had an inconsistent round with an eagle, three birdies and four bogeys, but his closing birdie all but guaranteed his spot in the field for the final two rounds.

"I've got to play better. I've got to go out and make some birdies tomorrow," Mickelson stated. "I also need some conditions to be able to do it and a little bit of luck for it to turn."

The Masters champion walked off the 18th green on the Old Course at St. Andrews tied for 68th place with the top 70 and ties slated for the weekend.

Mickelson opened his round with a birdie on the third. After a par on four, he rolled in an eagle putt at the par-five fifth to move to minus-two.

However, Mickelson saw his par-saving putt on the sixth lip out. He parred the next two holes, before converting a 15-footer for birdie on the ninth to turn in two-under.

On the back nine, Mickelson fought both the wind and his swing. He hit several drives out to the left and it cost him on the 12th. His drive stopped in high rough and behind some bleachers.

Mickelson chipped sideways, then pitched his third to about 30 feet. He two- putted for bogey. At the par-five 14th, Mickelson's par putt lipped out and that dropped him back to even-par for the championship.

After a pair of pars, Mickelson found the left rough off the tee at the Road Hole, No. 17. He was unable to reach the green with his second and walked off with another bogey that dropped him to plus-one overall.

Mickelson drove left of the 18th green and played his second to 10 feet. He rolled that in for a closing birdie to get back to minus-one for the day.

"I'm going to need some luck, I didn't play well these first two days," said Mickelson. "I have to go out tomorrow and have prefect conditions and play a great round, and then I need it to blow like this in the afternoon. I need some luck."

Mickelson has made the cut in 13 of his first 16 British Open appearances, but has just one top-10 finish in those 13 Opens. He took third in 2004 and his second-best finish came on the Old Course in 2000. Mickelson shared 11th that year, but he was 12 strokes behind Tiger Woods.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

MySportsbook features easy-to-use online betting software that’s the most reliable in the industry. If you’re looking to bet underdogs, then this Sportsbook is the place - we have the best betting lines in the business. MySportsbook is your one-stop shop for all your betting needs - sports betting, poker, casino, and horse betting . MySportsbook offers every bet type with lightning fast settlement of wagers. Take advantage of free statistical analysis - including against-the-spread and straight-up trends - in MySportsbook’s game previews section. With MySportsbook there are unlimited free deposits and payouts - and no transaction fees!

To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football sportsbook needs.