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07/18/2009 - Regina, Saskatchewan (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Anthony Calvillo went 24-for-34 with 281 yards and two touchdowns as the Montreal Alouettes crushed the Saskatchewan Roughriders, 43-10.
Avon Coburne had 25 carries for 145 yards and two scores while Kerry Watkins and Kerry Carter each added a touchdown reception for the Alouettes (3-0), who are now the lone undefeated team in the league.
Darian Durant went 10-for-20 with 112 yards and one interception while Wes Cates provided a rushing touchdown for the Roughriders (2-1), who were coming off a 46-36 win over Toronto last week.
The Alouettes got the only points of the first quarter courtesy of a 40-yard field goal from Damon Duval with under six minutes to play in the frame and a single on a missed 54-yard field goal from Duval.
The Roughriders, though, took the lead early in the second quarter when a fumble recovery deep in Montreal territory resulted in a four-yard touchdown run from Cates.
A single later in the second gave Saskatchewan an 8-4 lead, but, on its ensuing possession, Montreal grabbed the lead back when Calvillo and Carter hooked up on a 20-yard touchdown with under seven minutes to play in the first half for an 11-8 lead.
Duval later connected on a 30-yard field goal to help Montreal take a 14-8 lead into the locker room.
On their first possession of the second half, the Alouettes marched the ball down the field and made it a 21-8 game on a 55-yard touchdown catch by Watkins and added another point with a single on the ensuing kickoff.
Later in the third quarter, a seven-yard touchdown run from Coburne was followed by a single from Duval on the kickoff for a 30-8 lead.
Duval booted a 21-yard field goal in the fourth, but later conceded a safety when he stepped out of the end zone.
A 40-yard field goal from Duval and a two-yard touchdown run by Coburne later in the fourth wrapped up the scoring.
Game Notes
The Roughriders had won four of the previous five against Montreal coming into the game...Ben Cahoon had seven catches for 86 yards for Montreal while Watkins finished the game with four catches for 69 yards...Andrew Fantuz led the Saskatchewan receiving corps with four catches for 60 yards.
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Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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